As the general election is looking ever more like a match-up between billionaire businessman Donald Trump and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, Trump’s critics have revisited their repeated refrain that he could never beat Hillary in a one-on-one face-off.
That line of thinking, though, doesn’t square with the results of a newly released Rasmussen poll though, which shows the celebrity real estate mogul beating out the former New York senator by a narrow margin.
While a previous poll of this contest resulted in a 38-38 percent tie, with 6 percent choosing to stay home, this latest poll removed the “stay home” option, resulting in Trump garnering more support.
The poll of likely voters showed Trump beating Hillary 41-39 percent, with 15 percent preferring an unnamed third-party candidate and 5 percent remaining unsure. These results fall within the 3 percent margin of error.
— Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) May 2, 2016
Both Trump and Hillary draw support in the mid-70 percentile from their respective party members, but the real surprise is in the cross-over vote, as 15 percent of Democrats intend to vote for Trump while only 8 percent of GOP voters say they’ll vote for Hillary.
Trump also leads among independent and unaffiliated voters, who will likely prove quite crucial in this cycle.
Both candidates also perform about the same with their respective gender and do poorly with the opposite gender. Hillary does well with minority voters but much less so with white voters, and vice versa for Trump.
Trump already showed his approval with a celebratory tweet.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) May 2, 2016
Of course, there is still plenty of time left in the election season, and these poll numbers will undoubtedly change. And voters most certainly retain the right to stay home and not vote for either candidate if that is their decision.
“But Trump edges slightly ahead if the stay-at-home option is removed.”
Note: mandatory voting isn’t a law in US. https://t.co/nsQa194XyP
— Ellen L. Carmichael (@ellencarmichael) May 2, 2016
That said, considering the seemingly insurmountable lead Hillary once held over Trump, this poll could be a hint of the direction things are moving as he continues to solidify support among Republicans and the country moves on to the party conventions and general election.
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