Donald Trump holds a 20-point lead over John Kasich in Maryland, setting the billionaire up to potentially take all 38 of the state’s delegates, according to a new poll.
A Monmouth University survey released Wednesday afternoon found Trump with 47 percent support, compared to Kasich at 27 percent and Ted Cruz at 19 percent.
The statewide winner in Maryland will claim 14 delegates, with the remaining 24 to be allocated in winner-take-all contests at the congressional district level.
“If Trump’s current level of support translates to each of Maryland’s eight congressional districts, he may be able to run the table in the all-important delegate contest,” said Monmouth pollster Patrick Murray.
The Maryland election will take place one week after the primary in New York, where Trump is expected to take the strong majority of the delegates up for grabs.
Republicans in Maryland will vote on April 26, which is lining up to be a big date in the nominating process.
Four other states along the East Coast — Connecticut, Delaware, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island — also vote that day, potentially making for a day of sweeping victories for Trump that could move him significantly closer to the 1,237 delegates he needs to win the GOP nomination outright.
In Maryland, Trump leads Cruz by more than 30 points among those who identify as “very conservative.” He edges Kasich by 5 points among those who are “somewhat conservative” and is tied with Kasich among self-described “moderates.”
Kasich edges Trump among college graduates, but the GOP front-runner sits high atop the field among non-college educated Republicans, taking 58 percent support, compared to only 21 percent for Cruz.
“Even though Kasich is competitive among certain demographic groups, Trump’s overwhelming support among men without a college education accounts for his substantial lead statewide,” said Murray.
Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan (R) has said Trump should not be the party’s nominee, but nearly half of Republicans surveyed said they hadn’t heard his comments, and 83 percent said it would have no bearing on whom they support.
The Monmouth University survey of 301 like Republican primary voters in Maryland was conducted between April 10 and April 12 and has a 5.7 percentage point margin of error.